Sunday 25th October 2015 marks the 600th anniversary of the Battle of Agincourt in 1415. It is an interesting battle from the perspective of non-cooperative game theory. It has elements of both imperfect information on how the game is played and incomplete information of player type. The optimal strategy for Henry V or Charles VI […]

Economics of times past, of Adam Smith and Keynes alas! Has economics become an illusion? Yes. It is an accidental tourist in the political landscape. Economic policy making is[1] ‘but a walking shadow, a poor player that struts and frets his hour upon the stage’ of natural numbers, coupled with policymakers throwing[2] ‘sixes and fives in […]

What you and I need is ethics redefined. Would you sacrifice the life of one man to save five? – check the debate at bit/ly/otfatman. What’s your decision? Your answer will reveal a philosophy, your sense of ethics. .Can we apply a philosophical reasoning to the business world? This is the challenge we set in […]

Whither the Euro? The Liar’s Paradox In Dickens’ Hard Times the character Mr Gradgrind can’t help but speak about Facts to his pupils: ‘Now, what I want is, Facts. Teach these boys and girls nothing but Facts. Facts alone are wanted in life. Plant nothing else, and root out everything else’. As we listen to […]

Investors generally over-react to good and bad times. Equity values are now increasing at a decreasing rate across the indexes as investors anticipate corporate earnings and begin to read the signals; many investors extrapolate past share price performance, and using an moving average or charting the trends in the share price are de rigueur in […]